What to buy or sell when you have 7 good players and no clue of what will happen?
That's what I was wondering during the pregame. The first thing I realized is that buying where the other buy brings money, buying where the other sell brings defeat.
So I started my diplomacy. The first idea was just to get rumors about what was going on. But then I thought: why cant I lead the market? The idea I got was that, knowing nothing, statistically is very rare that France and Turkey are eliminated before 1904. So buying Francs & Piastres can't be that risky.
I started spread the rumor and it worked so good that I thought that I wasn't the only one having that idea. But a strange thing happened: D33 bought 3000 Piastres. Why buying so much? Did he do right? wrong? I started thinking. Probably I've been too shy in this first turn.
Second turn was great. I had correspondence with ALL the traders and I had a vision clear enough to make a good turn. Infact my 2 main allies, drano and tobi, and I were the only 3 traders who sold only the 4 dropping currencies and bought only the 3 rising ones. Good team job! Also, I felt my shyness gone because I started thinking in terms of "thousands" pieces when to buy.
Really gone? How about Devo's buying 8,500 Lire? Italy was placed good, absolutely NO elimination in sight, unlike Turkey. I needed more Lire. But a few simple calculations said that you can't buy Lire unless you're sure you got more than Devo at the end of the turn. Ok. My shyness now is really gone. There's a Key-Lepanto on the Board. Spring02 & Crowns are waiting for me.
Taken the Leadership, in 1902-3 I went on with my diplomacy talking with anyone who was willing to and it was simple keeping it.
But at the end of 1903, four things made me change my Diplomacy:
- my main ally drano019 disappeared
- talking with everyone begun to cost too much time. In a map-game, when you ask for or offer a support, the other person knows what you're talking about. In a bourse-game it's not so. Probably because this was the very-first bourse game, there's not a "common vocabulary" yet. I was tired of complexities of explanations. Also there were no way to keep track of what I already said to each investor and my mind was exploding. Too time invested.
- market became rather predictable, with traders buying just the best price/map currency. Probably because there were no strong traders-alliances around. Or no fantasy. But I felt like I could go on guessing the right currency to buy even without having the other players' feedback.
- I realized that, in spite of his 5th place, Devo was the only trader dangerous for my leadership so all I needed was people not buying Lire
So, since spring 1904 I quitted Private Messages to traders and I started my Global chatting. First goal: convince everyone that "buying Lire" = "Devo winner".
Although the thing was true, asking for it on the Global was VERY IDIOT BY ME.
To most traders infact, it sounded like if in a Classic the mid-game leader says in Global "Hey guys, if things go on this way I'll be the winner. So please don't attack me, attack Devo" hahahaha :)))
What result would you expect? That everyone gang up against the mid-game leader, obviousely!
I wasn't able to explain that if you can't buy Lire because of Devo, if you can't buy Crowns because of Guaroz, if you can't buy... anything, then there's nothing wrong in selling all and make some cash dollars to be used when you know what to buy. Four players performed the "sell all" more than once during the game: the Top 4.
So I went on lone from 1904 to 1908.
A small parenthesis in which I diplomed with toby1 around 1906. But our positions were too far (more in terms of stock's quality than in terms of RNW) to find a strategy good for both, so we quitted soon, with some short aftermath on Global.
Lira's jump in Spring 1904 has been harsh for me, but since nothing unpredictable happened, both on the Board and in the Market, in the following 4 years I was able to roam around highest 3-4 positions.
Actually, beyond the RNW, I was aware all the time long that the battle was between me and Devonian. Nobody else. There are things RNW doesn't say, expecially (as gman314 correctly pointed out) when someones got relevant stocks of cash Dollars.
Spring 1908. Germany & England are almost dead. Whether the 4-way alliance holds or collapses, it's time to make some cash Dollars. Either way I'll be able to handle the situation. "Sell all can be sold!" it's the leitmotif both in spring and in fall.
Spring 1909. The 4-way looks to be holding. If they wanted France dead they could have already killed it. If someone wanted to try the solo, he'd have had better chances in the past. It's highly probable the game will soon be over. For the first time, I need to give a look to VPs. Buy/sell so that resulting stock is in round hundreds. Yes, for the first time, I'm buying VPs, not currencies.
I'm aware it's a gamble. But it's time to bet, and I bet the game will be over within the year. If I'm wrong, Devo could outrank me and my only hope would be that there will be a new LONG game section. Long enough to recover after buying VPs.
Fall 1909. Again buying VPs. 2,220.... I got some odd dollars spare. Even Francs! 100 Frs = 2 Vps. Total 2,222. Let's count Devo's.... WOW the best he can do is 2,212 VPs!!! so his only hope is the game won't be drawn after England is eliminated! But... who cares... I got my finger crossed... please draw please draw please... please!! Gone! kaner announces fall results yes it was 2,222. Devo, wisely, bought cash dollars, not VPs that are useless for him now.... OMG... I got my finger crossed... please draw please draw please... please!!.... fasces349 congrats with me, on the thread... is it true?
I think I had my fingers crossed all day long, until butterhead's final vote. :)
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Very funny game.
I loved so much the first 3 years, with all those PMs.
As someone said, I believe that boursing a bigger game is good. With only 7 currencies the game becomes soon predictable. But any big we choose, at some point there will be many country defeated, so I think that a period of "predictability" is inevitable.
The very last turns will always be a bet on 'WHEN' the game will actually end.
To make Bourse better, I reccomend that players DON'T KNOW they've been boursed. Observing something changes it (Heisenberg?). They admitted they tried the Key-Lepanto just to see the Market's reaction. What if they delayed the draw for the same reason? The best would be having something like a rat race. Rats don't know money, don't make jokes for fun and they don't have friends to help. They only run for the cheese they see in front of them. They're not aware that someone's betting on them, they just run fast towards the cheese.
A solution could be opening a fake game (not to be played, all would save the holds). Also the GM would take a spot. As the right game startes (preferably Anon) the GM announces in Private chats which is the boursed game. We'd talk into a room reserved for traders and nobody except the traders and GM would know which game is boursed.
The traders could speak (keeping track of what they said) to each other in Private chats, without that anyone outside could know which is the boursed game. The only flaw is that there couldn't be a Global, because it can be read outside the game and someone could guess which is the boursed game.
In this fake game joined by traders, we could also toggle any preference we like (Anon/non-Anon or Press/no-Press etc...). I believe it would relieve everyone's Homepage Notes, expecially the GM's. Right kaner? how many PMs did you have to handle everyday? Personal + Mod + GM ?
Also... CDed traders could be taken over! ...rather than having someone joining when it's too late. I think that someone could have done well using drano's stocks. Let's open a fake game next time.
It's just a rough idea. Any suggestion is welcome.
Thoughts?
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I thank ALL players and ALL traders. They made possible kaner's idea got real.
A special thank to:
- Devonian. You're the best. Any game. Any Map. Any Tourney. Any Variant. Always a top-opponent. My congrats. This game wouldn't have been so exciting without you.
- tobi1. The best trader to talk with. His speeches always accurate. Always knowing what he's talking about. Smart ideas. Valid objections. Anything. Everything. I'll remember our conversations for a long time.
Last but not last, a very special thank to kaner406. A splendid idea, a great GM.